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Red81
598742.5
459037.3
711224.9
Blue55
571526.0
338823.7
1013917.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86730501001502002508155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
71Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points6
81Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#12
42.50.1
30.029.9
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
red by 16.5
5715
#27
26.02.5
28.225.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Second
37.30.1
24.024.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 13.7
23.72.5
19.517.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Third
7112
#22
24.90.1
20.520.4
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
red by 7.9
17.02.5
17.815.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed