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Red71
973918.8
195417.6
674030.4
Blue96
571526.0
432029.0
307536.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6485020401001201401607196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
56Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points10
71Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6740
#21
30.41.2
29.931.1
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
blue by 6.3
3075
#11
36.71.2
32.834.0
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
Second
9739
#20
18.81.2
15.716.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
blue by 10.2
4320
#16
29.01.2
20.321.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Third
1954
#31
17.61.2
14.815.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 8.4
5715
#27
26.01.2
22.223.4
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned