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Red32
432029.0
158013.1
974018.5
Blue43
221213.0
193732.0
784524.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69870501001502002503243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#4
9Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
13Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points6
32Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#16
29.04.0
26.222.2
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
blue by 3.0
1937
#24
32.04.2
23.519.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
Second
9740
#29
18.54.0
18.014.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 6.0
7845
#18
24.54.2
27.523.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
1580
#32
13.14.0
17.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
red by 0.1
2212
#13
13.04.2
23.719.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed