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Red38
331627.9
706716.5
592825.1
Blue138
307544.2
474446.2
157627.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50123010015020038138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+88
Endgame+98
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +60
5Coral scored#15
19Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
0Processor points6
4Net points24
4Algae points30
23Total teleop83
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#9
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points2
38Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#22
27.91.4
25.123.7
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
blue by 18.3
46.21.8
40.041.8
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Second
5928
#21
25.11.4
16.114.7
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
blue by 19.1
44.21.8
39.341.1
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
Third
7067
#19
16.51.4
17.416.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 11.3
1576
#12
27.81.8
29.631.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned