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Red78
209645.7
194316.1
592825.1
Blue127
306542.1
459043.7
441622.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861265010015020078127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+47
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
46Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
4Foul points6
78Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.4
48.448.0
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
red by 1.9
43.71.1
44.545.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
Second
5928
#21
25.10.4
14.714.3
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
blue by 17.0
3065
#14
42.11.1
39.840.9
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
Third
1943
#24
16.10.4
16.316.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
blue by 6.5
4416
#17
22.61.1
20.721.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned