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Red140
157449.2
674040.1
598747.2
Blue127
169095.9
616816.1
706716.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291250100200300400500140127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points57
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
18Processor points18
8Net points8
26Algae points26
78Total teleop83
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#8
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
140Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.21.3
44.645.9
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
blue by 46.6
95.90.8
81.882.6
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
Second
5987
#10
47.21.3
40.942.2
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
red by 30.7
7067
#19
16.50.8
16.216.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Third
40.11.3
33.334.6
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
red by 23.9
6168
#27
16.10.8
17.718.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned