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Red61
616816.1
592825.1
513523.7
Blue103
308329.7
209645.7
973824.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46107020608012014016061103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
49Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points2
61Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5928
#21
25.10.2
16.416.6
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
blue by 20.5
45.70.3
47.647.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Second
5135
#25
23.70.2
19.820.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
blue by 6.0
3083
#18
29.70.3
24.724.4
Auto2.2
Teleop27.1
End0.5
Third
6168
#27
16.10.2
18.518.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
blue by 8.6
9738
#11
24.70.3
24.324.0
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed