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Red94
616816.1
441622.6
474446.2
Blue63
157627.8
194316.1
973824.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717355606575808590959463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+37Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points9
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
65Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#3
8L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
94Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.7
31.333.1
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 18.4
1576
#12
27.80.2
31.130.9
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Second
4416
#17
22.61.7
18.219.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 2.1
9738
#11
24.70.2
22.522.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
Third
6168
#27
16.11.9
18.420.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Level
1943
#24
16.10.2
12.412.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed