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Red141
307544.2
706716.5
598747.2
Blue80
194316.1
674040.1
209645.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161085015020014180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +34
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
77Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +61
14Foul points0
141Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
47.20.4
47.347.7
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
red by 1.5
45.70.5
45.945.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Second
44.20.4
44.344.7
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
red by 4.2
40.10.5
40.339.8
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Third
7067
#19
16.50.4
16.617.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 0.4
1943
#24
16.10.5
16.415.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5