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Red85
195419.2
194257.4
433827.7
Blue102
432037.7
563543.7
1013917.8
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919286889094969810010285102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
20Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
61Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
85Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.0
43.343.3
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
red by 13.8
43.71.1
39.440.5
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
Second
4338
#21
27.70.0
24.724.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.3
End4.9
blue by 10.0
4320
#11
37.71.1
29.030.2
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
Third
1954
#32
19.20.0
17.617.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
red by 1.4
17.81.2
17.018.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned