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Red94
817542.0
930311.5
193735.4
Blue133
555435.0
223176.5
338818.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6211805010015020094133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +19
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
11Coral points33
17Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
73Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#11
3L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
94Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#18
42.01.2
29.030.2
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
blue by 34.6
76.51.0
57.058.1
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
Second
35.41.2
32.033.2
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
red by 0.4
5554
#14
35.01.0
24.925.9
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Third
9303
#25
11.51.2
6.77.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3388
#10
18.41.0
23.724.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned