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Red137
223064.3
673822.8
195419.2
Blue151
194257.4
338818.4
193735.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981166080140160137151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points26
23Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points68
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
100Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#9
8L3#8
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
137Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.32.4
58.260.7
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 6.9
57.42.0
49.451.5
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
Second
6738
#27
22.82.4
21.123.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
blue by 12.6
35.42.0
34.636.6
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Third
1954
#32
19.22.4
15.718.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
red by 0.7
3388
#10
18.42.0
24.626.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned