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Red127
1013917.8
223064.3
458631.9
Blue88
817542.0
432037.7
157733.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10512640608014016018020012788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
30Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
77Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
127Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.3
62.163.4
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
red by 22.3
8175
#18
42.02.0
40.038.0
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Second
4586
#12
31.91.3
27.128.3
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3
blue by 5.8
4320
#11
37.72.0
41.039.0
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
Third
17.81.3
12.914.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 15.5
1577
#29
33.22.0
37.435.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned