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Red111
466115.5
610423.3
595158.0
Blue132
223064.3
822335.1
529132.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97117050150200250111132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
74Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
111Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#13
58.01.3
55.056.3
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
blue by 6.3
64.31.6
49.951.5
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
6104
#22
23.31.3
20.121.4
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 11.9
8223
#19
35.11.6
29.531.1
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
Third
4661
#26
15.51.3
16.718.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.4
End1.0
blue by 16.8
5291
#15
32.31.6
26.127.8
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed