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Red184
1013917.8
223176.5
263064.3
Blue124
673822.8
703952.6
595158.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155134100200250184124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+68Teleop
+68Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
9Coral scored#10
47Coral points48
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +72
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points31
5Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
30Processor points6
28Net points4
58Algae points10
113Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points8
184Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.52.7
69.271.9
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
red by 18.5
5951
#13
58.01.0
54.553.5
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
Second
64.32.7
60.162.8
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 11.7
52.61.0
52.051.0
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Third
17.82.7
14.216.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
blue by 5.1
6738
#27
22.81.0
24.223.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned