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Red93
158010.1
529132.3
555435.0
Blue117
817542.0
711236.4
673822.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8110620406012014016018093117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points29
30Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
59Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
93Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#14
35.00.9
36.237.2
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
blue by 7.0
8175
#18
42.01.3
40.041.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Second
5291
#15
32.30.9
33.634.5
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3
blue by 4.2
36.41.3
34.836.1
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Third
1580
#33
10.10.9
9.210.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End0.3
blue by 12.7
6738
#27
22.81.3
22.123.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned