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Red119
466124.8
263081.6
592832.5
Blue156
194268.4
784543.3
321130.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153162050100200250300350119156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
Unranked
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
red by 13.2
1942
Unranked
68.40.0
68.468.4
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
Second
5928
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
blue by 10.8
7845
Unranked
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Third
4661
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
blue by 5.8
3211
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto odds95%Auto odds
Coral
47%Coral odds58%Coral odds
Barge
85%Barge odds68%Barge odds