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Red116
561474.2
565439.0
466124.8
Blue108
458643.4
973917.7
703965.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161140050100200250300350116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
Unranked
74.20.0
74.274.2
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
red by 8.4
7039
Unranked
65.80.0
65.865.8
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
Second
5654
Unranked
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 4.5
4586
Unranked
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End1.4
Third
4661
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
red by 7.1
9739
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto odds93%Auto odds
Coral
33%Coral odds40%Coral odds
Barge
94%Barge odds37%Barge odds