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Red157
999114.9
784543.3
333976.6
Blue134
195419.2
267931.0
157456.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152108050200250300157134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
Unranked
76.60.0
76.676.6
Auto19.1
Teleop47.3
End10.2
red by 19.9
1574
Unranked
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
7845
Unranked
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 12.4
2679
Unranked
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Third
9991
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End1.1
blue by 4.2
1954
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto odds94%Auto odds
Coral
33%Coral odds5%Coral odds
Barge
83%Barge odds32%Barge odds