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Red165
817540.6
459069.6
513530.1
Blue112
308343.3
999114.9
561474.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158141050100200250300350165112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4590
Unranked
69.60.0
69.669.6
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
blue by 4.5
5614
Unranked
74.20.0
74.274.2
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
Second
8175
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
blue by 2.6
3083
Unranked
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
Third
5135
Unranked
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
red by 15.1
9991
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto odds80%Auto odds
Coral
25%Coral odds10%Coral odds
Barge
57%Barge odds85%Barge odds