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Red152
212262.2
167663.6
570514.6
Blue241
34243.8
11186.7
331479.8
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141229100200250300152241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+41
Teleop+79
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +41
6Leave0
2Coral scored#11
10Coral points57
16Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +38
21Coral scored#32
74Coral points114
5Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
30Processor points24
16Net points20
46Algae points44
120Total teleop158
Reef
10L4#14
5L3#15
5L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
152Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#26
63.60.3
60.860.5
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End9.8
blue by 23.0
111
#4
86.71.1
81.182.1
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
2122
#22
62.20.3
61.561.2
Auto17.2
Teleop35.2
End9.8
blue by 17.6
3314
#13
79.81.1
79.380.4
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
Third
5705
#72
14.60.3
14.013.7
Auto1.7
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 29.2
342
#61
43.81.1
45.546.6
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned