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Red123
1059821.0
258652.9
69576.5
Blue180
54856.3
110855.1
635763.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159158120130140150170180190200123180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +63
16Coral scored#31
58Coral points111
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
72Total teleop135
Reef
7L4#13
8L3#7
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
123Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
76.51.3
73.872.4
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 13.2
6357
#32
63.32.1
47.749.8
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
Second
2586
#47
52.91.3
51.249.9
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
blue by 3.4
548
#58
56.32.1
49.051.1
Auto7.0
Teleop44.2
End5.1
Third
21.01.3
17.716.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
blue by 34.0
1108
#34
55.12.1
51.853.9
Auto10.5
Teleop36.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned