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Red197
691971.3
477668.8
752060.2
Blue149
1021335.0
425345.8
971746.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20713750100150250300197149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave3
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points87
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
127Total teleop111
Reef
16L4#13
6L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
197Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#35
71.30.2
68.168.0
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
red by 24.9
9717
#48
46.40.4
44.044.4
Auto5.5
Teleop32.7
End8.2
Second
4776
#45
68.80.2
66.966.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
red by 23.0
4253
#56
45.80.4
51.752.1
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
Third
7520
#25
60.20.2
53.253.0
Auto18.4
Teleop39.8
End2.0
red by 25.2
35.00.4
36.136.5
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned