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Red158
803374.6
46164.6
873922.4
Blue187
1059821.0
535261.7
463575.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18215350100200250158187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+47
Fouls+29
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#21
62Coral points75
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
80Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#7
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
30Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
18Foul points0
158Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#43
74.62.2
75.873.7
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
blue by 0.8
4635
#14
75.42.5
69.872.3
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
Second
461
#38
64.62.2
65.663.4
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
red by 2.9
5352
#20
61.72.5
56.659.0
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
Third
8739
#75
22.42.2
19.917.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 1.3
21.02.5
12.414.9
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned