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Red206
164861.0
886647.5
519974.6
Blue223
132575.4
69576.5
1048236.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192191160180200220240206223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
6Coral scored#11
28Coral points54
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +22
25Coral scored#28
89Coral points101
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#2
18Processor points12
36Net points8
54Algae points20
143Total teleop121
Reef
13L4#19
9L3#6
4L2#9
5L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points12
206Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#29
74.61.7
74.275.9
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
blue by 1.8
695
#16
76.52.2
74.877.0
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Second
1648
#39
61.01.7
60.662.3
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
blue by 14.4
75.42.2
70.472.5
Auto21.5
Teleop47.9
End5.9
Third
8866
#53
47.51.7
45.647.3
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
red by 10.8
36.72.2
33.535.7
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned