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Red208
298749.1
544972.3
463575.4
Blue161
519974.6
425345.8
815964.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162189100120140180200220240208161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
11Coral scored#4
54Coral points21
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#21
84Coral points75
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
128Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#5
9L2#6
7L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#34
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
208Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
75.42.4
66.769.1
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
red by 0.7
5199
#29
74.62.2
69.767.6
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
Second
5449
#31
72.33.5
50.353.8
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
red by 7.9
8159
#19
64.42.2
56.854.6
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End5.2
Third
2987
#21
49.12.4
43.445.8
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
red by 3.3
4253
#56
45.82.2
56.053.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsMissed