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Red164
31662.7
942742.1
439850.3
Blue233
635763.3
441491.9
4555.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159231100200250300350164233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+65
Fouls+69
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
18Coral scored#27
65Coral points96
5Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
30Processor points30
24Net points28
54Algae points58
119Total teleop154
Reef
11L4#14
5L3#10
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
2Foul points6
164Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#55
62.70.2
60.960.7
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
blue by 29.2
91.90.8
87.888.6
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
Second
4398
#54
50.30.2
50.950.7
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End2.1
blue by 13.0
6357
#32
63.30.8
60.260.9
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
Third
9427
#68
42.10.2
42.041.8
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
blue by 13.5
45
#10
55.60.8
56.557.2
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned