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Red181
552655.9
440350.9
1059821.0
Blue156
641341.1
1048236.7
691971.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12516850100150200250181156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +20
25Coral scored#20
89Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
113Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
11L3#8
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
181Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5526
#27
55.94.1
48.752.9
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End5.7
blue by 15.4
6919
#35
71.30.6
68.669.2
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
Second
4403
#65
50.94.1
49.853.9
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
red by 9.9
6413
#69
41.10.6
42.843.4
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
Third
21.04.1
14.919.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
blue by 15.6
36.70.6
35.736.3
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned