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Red193
164861.0
4555.6
36571.4
Blue235
11186.7
463575.4
115669.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199256150300350193235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +52
23Coral scored#23
84Coral points84
2Processor algae#6
2Net algae#9
12Processor points36
8Net points36
20Algae points72
104Total teleop156
Reef
15L4#9
10L3#10
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points6
193Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#40
71.40.1
71.371.4
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
blue by 15.3
111
#4
86.70.1
87.587.4
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
1648
#39
61.00.1
60.961.0
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
blue by 14.3
4635
#14
75.40.1
76.276.1
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
Third
45
#10
55.60.1
55.555.6
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
blue by 13.9
1156
#24
69.50.1
70.470.3
Auto15.6
Teleop43.1
End10.7