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Red64
955127.5
176430.3
Blue158
110851.8
182537.1
173057.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311505010015020025064158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+72
Endgame+94
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +55
10Coral scored#22
36Coral points79
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
54Total teleop109
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#8
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points0
64Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#20
30.31.3
25.824.5
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
blue by 27.1
57.35.7
34.340.1
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
9551
#23
27.51.3
24.322.9
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
blue by 24.2
51.83.4
37.641.0
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
Third
9.66.9
9.616.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 27.5
37.15.7
25.931.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned