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Red83
182537.1
176918.7
93531.2
Blue111
198655.6
480920.0
181033.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909060708010011012013083111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
58Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#5
6L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
83Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.1
36.236.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
blue by 18.4
55.62.8
42.144.9
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
Second
935
#19
31.20.1
27.127.0
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
blue by 2.2
1810
#13
33.31.8
27.629.4
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Third
1769
#17
18.70.1
20.320.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 1.3
4809
#21
20.02.8
14.417.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned