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Red75
501325.7
480920.0
742142.7
Blue141
184741.2
172329.7
198655.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012440608010014016018020075141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+60
Endgame+70
Fouls+66
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +71
6Coral scored#24
21Coral points88
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
35Total teleop106
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
4Foul points0
75Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.0
41.940.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
blue by 12.9
55.62.7
47.950.5
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
Second
5013
#16
25.71.4
27.025.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
blue by 15.6
41.22.7
39.041.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Third
4809
#21
20.01.4
17.816.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 9.7
1723
#10
29.72.0
24.126.1
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned