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Red99
173057.3
514114.8
445512.8
Blue57
93713.2
182714.9
931622.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934602060801201401609957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points4
23Total auto7
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
60Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points0
99Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.9
54.355.1
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 35.2
9316
#29
22.20.2
20.020.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
Second
5141
#14
14.80.6
13.914.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 0.1
1827
#32
14.90.2
11.511.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Third
4455
#18
12.80.9
11.412.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 0.5
937
#33
13.20.2
13.914.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed