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Red69
75726.7
518917.0
526831.8
Blue89
509824.0
176430.3
93531.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72864060801001206989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+32
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
47Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
69Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
27.427.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
red by 0.7
935
#19
31.21.2
25.827.0
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
757
#9
26.70.1
25.826.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
blue by 3.6
1764
#20
30.31.2
28.729.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
Third
5189
#25
17.00.1
14.214.3
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 7.0
5098
#15
24.01.2
20.721.9
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed