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Red88
172329.7
665211.4
182714.9
Blue66
200114.4
495919.5
176430.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5475020401001201408866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +20
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points35
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
63Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points2
88Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#10
29.72.5
26.929.5
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
blue by 0.6
1764
#20
30.30.0
30.530.4
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
Second
1827
#32
14.92.8
12.014.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 4.7
19.50.0
19.619.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Third
6652
#24
11.42.5
8.911.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 3.0
2001
#28
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed