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Red13
320130.2
99862.1
75164.5
Blue108
998513.8
146634.3
278358.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012205015020025030013108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+97
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +34
3Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points37
3Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +63
1Coral scored#14
4Coral points51
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
0Processor points12
0Net points4
0Algae points16
4Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#11
0L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
13Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.24.2
45.541.3
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
blue by 27.9
58.10.4
57.757.3
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
Second
7516
#18
4.55.1
11.96.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 29.8
34.30.4
36.636.2
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Third
9986
#20
2.17.0
16.19.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
blue by 11.7
9985
#14
13.80.6
16.115.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed