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Red89
384318.7
320130.2
172031.3
Blue86
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86854060801001208986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points23
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
58Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points6
89Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#11
31.30.1
31.831.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
blue by 3.0
34.30.0
30.930.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
30.20.1
30.630.5
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
blue by 2.5
5492
#10
32.70.0
29.229.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
3843
#19
18.70.1
19.119.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 4.9
554
#15
23.60.0
20.120.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5