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Red59
433637.3
586319.2
1021728.6
Blue87
162219.8
408739.8
880844.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621070501505987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
43Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
59Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#38
37.30.8
30.829.9
Auto4.8
Teleop30.9
End1.6
blue by 6.9
44.21.1
34.933.8
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
Second
28.61.3
15.714.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.0
End3.7
blue by 11.3
39.81.2
32.431.2
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
Third
5863
#39
19.20.8
12.711.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
blue by 0.6
1622
#35
19.81.0
22.821.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned