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Red70
408739.8
976111.4
586319.2
Blue25
297318.2
215221.9
208016.4
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201401607025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
47Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
70Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.8
34.034.9
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
red by 18.0
2152
#52
21.91.5
19.117.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
5863
#39
19.20.8
12.413.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 1.0
2973
#25
18.21.5
15.213.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Third
9761
#49
11.41.4
11.012.4
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 4.9
2080
#40
16.41.5
12.711.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed