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Red135
501336.5
3425.5
45654.2
Blue74
1021728.6
945614.2
711121.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1193905010015020013574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
101Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#4
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
135Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.21.5
48.249.7
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
red by 25.7
28.62.2
15.818.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Second
5013
#18
36.51.5
28.930.4
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End1.1
red by 15.0
7111
#36
21.51.3
11.212.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End1.0
Third
34
#19
25.51.5
19.420.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6
red by 11.3
9456
#46
14.22.2
9.011.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed