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Red74
878823.8
586319.2
360615.7
Blue96
711121.5
915324.2
978729.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69790501001507496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points11
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
57Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
74Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8788
#27
23.80.3
21.421.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.1
End1.4
blue by 5.7
9787
#23
29.62.1
23.025.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
Second
5863
#39
19.20.3
15.615.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
blue by 4.9
9153
#33
24.21.3
21.723.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End0.5
Third
3606
#37
15.70.5
17.718.2
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
blue by 5.8
7111
#36
21.51.3
17.318.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed