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Red78
361635.8
976111.4
945614.2
Blue210
299256.4
203658.6
303926.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58166010015020025078210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+102
Endgame+112
Fouls+132
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave3
2Coral scored#8
8Coral points41
17Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +75
10Coral scored#26
37Coral points92
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
55Total teleop130
Reef
3L4#11
4L3#8
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#7
16Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +132
0Foul points20
78Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#26
35.80.5
34.134.6
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End2.1
blue by 22.8
58.63.3
54.157.4
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
Second
9456
#46
14.20.7
13.514.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
blue by 42.2
2992
#10
56.43.3
52.756.0
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
Third
9761
#49
11.40.7
10.711.4
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 14.7
3039
#47
26.13.3
22.826.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned