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Red114
310237.8
45654.2
375320.1
Blue123
203658.6
191245.8
215221.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514280100160180200220240114123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#18
42Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
82Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
114Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.20.1
53.853.9
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
blue by 4.4
58.60.0
57.457.4
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
Second
3102
#14
37.80.1
37.437.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
blue by 8.0
1912
#16
45.80.0
44.644.6
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
Third
3753
#42
20.10.1
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 1.7
2152
#52
21.90.0
20.720.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6