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Red170
1650.6
978729.6
804466.6
Blue142
203658.6
191245.8
215221.9
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157133100200250170142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#20
59Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
101Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
170Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.5
64.865.3
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End6.2
red by 8.0
58.60.4
57.457.8
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
Second
16
#4
50.60.5
48.849.3
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
red by 4.8
1912
#16
45.80.4
44.645.1
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
Third
9787
#23
29.60.7
27.127.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
red by 7.7
2152
#52
21.90.4
20.721.1
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6