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Red207
804486.9
880847.5
408743.6
Blue48
978725.2
346825.2
999812.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20653010015025030020748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+127Teleop
+147Endgame
+159Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
36Coral points9
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +100
20Coral scored#6
73Coral points23
4Processor algae#1
9Net algae#1
24Processor points6
36Net points4
60Algae points10
133Total teleop33
Reef
11L4#2
7L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +159
12Foul points0
207Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.91.2
83.084.2
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 61.6
25.21.8
32.931.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
47.51.2
46.147.3
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
red by 22.3
25.21.8
20.418.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
Third
43.61.2
38.940.1
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
red by 31.4
9998
#16
12.23.0
13.810.8
Auto1.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed