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Red127
862623.6
620142.6
632446.0
Blue162
12564.5
581350.3
17526.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11115050100200127162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+41
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
89Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points0
127Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.2
45.846.0
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
blue by 18.5
125
#1
64.50.5
64.064.5
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
42.60.2
42.442.6
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
blue by 7.6
50.30.5
49.850.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
Third
8626
#24
23.60.2
23.423.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
blue by 3.0
175
#19
26.60.5
26.126.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0