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Red114
24622.4
271336.4
1025420.9
Blue69
39580.3
632446.0
1039314.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68662040608010012011469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+45Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
47Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
42Foul points0
114Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.6
25.526.1
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
blue by 9.6
46.00.9
23.124.0
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
Second
246
#17
22.40.6
14.314.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
red by 7.8
14.63.2
21.918.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Third
20.915.7
34.118.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 20.6
3958
#38
0.30.9
19.920.9
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed