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Red82
404833.6
208420.1
431128.1
Blue103
17526.6
12564.5
287627.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86119406010014016018082103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
60Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
82Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#21
33.60.0
29.429.4
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
blue by 30.9
125
#1
64.50.2
50.150.0
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
red by 0.8
2876
#15
27.30.2
27.927.7
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
Third
2084
#32
20.10.0
18.518.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
blue by 6.5
175
#19
26.60.2
21.221.1
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned