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Red20
905613.8
972924.1
556321.0
Blue43
15125.5
573521.6
620142.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379002060801001201402043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
8Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
20Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.5
15.413.9
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
blue by 18.5
42.62.3
33.931.6
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
Second
5563
#23
21.02.5
14.812.3
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
blue by 4.5
151
#13
25.53.9
25.121.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
Third
9056
#34
13.81.5
12.410.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 7.8
5735
#35
21.63.9
19.015.1
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned