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Qual 242025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red76
404833.6
320512.6
862623.6
Blue57
39580.3
7844.3
34820.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717940601001207657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+15Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points20
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
59Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points2
76Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#21
33.60.5
29.4→30.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
blue by 10.7
78
#14
44.31.5
42.1→40.6
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
8626
#24
23.60.5
16.1→16.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
red by 3.5
348
#37
20.11.5
13.3→11.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.4
End1.1
Third
3205
#12
12.60.5
19.6→20.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 12.3
3958
#38
0.31.5
13.0→11.5
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed